Trajectory

A Shepherd Descends Prequel
by J.A. Raithe

Dr. Elena Chen had been staring at the same dataset for six hours when she realized she’d forgotten to eat lunch. Again.

The Atacama Large Millimeter Array stretched across the Chilean desert behind her, sixty-six antennas aimed at a patch of sky that had, until three weeks ago, been as unremarkable as any other. Now it was the most interesting twelve arcseconds in her career, and she could not make the numbers behave.

She pushed back from her workstation and rubbed her eyes. Through the window, late-afternoon sun painted the desert in rust and gold, the kind of view that made visiting researchers wax poetic about humanity’s place in the cosmos. Elena had stopped noticing it years ago. The cosmos was in the data, not the scenery.

“You’re still here.”

James appeared in the doorway, holding two coffee cups like peace offerings. He was ALMA’s senior radio astronomer and, more importantly, the only person who remembered that Elena ran on caffeine the way other people ran on sleep.

“The trajectory’s wrong,” she said, accepting the cup without looking away from her screen.

“You said that yesterday.”

“It’s still wrong today.”

James pulled a chair over and sat beside her. He was sixty-three, gray-bearded, and had been studying comets since before Elena was born. If anyone could tell her she was imagining things, it was him.

“Show me,” he said.

Elena pulled up the orbital projection. The object, designated C/2087 K4 in the catalogs, traced a long elliptical path through the outer solar system. Long-period comets did that all the time, drifting in, flaring briefly, then vanishing back toward the Oort Cloud for millennia.

“Initial observations put perihelion at 0.89 AU,” she said. “Close solar approach, good coma development, probably naked-eye visible by August. Textbook.”

“I remember,” James said. “You were insufferable about it.”

“I was appropriately excited about a significant discovery.” She tapped the screen. “But look at the revised trajectory.”

The orbit updated. The shift was subtle enough that a casual glance would have missed it. Elena was not a casual observer.

“Perihelion’s now projected at 1.02 AU,” she said. “It’s going to pass outside Earth’s orbit.”

James frowned. “Outgassing can alter trajectories. You know that.”

“I do.” She highlighted a cluster of points. “And I know which direction it pushes. Jets on the sunward side should slow it down and usually lower perihelion. Jets on the night side should speed it up and usually raise perihelion. This object is trending faster, but perihelion is dropping.”

James stared at the overlay a moment longer than he needed to.

“That’s,” he said, then stopped.

“No,” Elena said. “It’s not right.”

They sat in silence, looking at the numbers. Outside, the first stars were emerging over the Andes, ancient light arriving faithfully on schedule. In here, two astronomers were trying to convince themselves they had made a mistake simple enough to fix.

“Run it again,” James said finally. “Different baseline. Pull in Mauna Kea’s astrometry, cross-reference with the Europeans.”

“Already did,” Elena said. “Same result.”

“Then there’s an error in the models.”

“There’s always an error in the models,” Elena said. “But the error is usually consistent. This is… inventive.”

James gave her a look she had seen from review committees who thought she was reaching. “Comets aren’t inventive, Elena.”

“No,” she agreed. “They aren’t.”

She dreamed about it that night, which was unusual.

Elena’s dreams were typically administrative, endless grant applications, conference presentations where she’d forgotten the slides, the recurring nightmare about losing her tenure file in a building that kept adding hallways. Her subconscious had never shown much interest in the actual work.

But tonight she dreamed of a cold body tumbling through darkness, not the familiar lazy spin she expected, but a motion that felt wrong in a way she could not translate into physics. She saw a hard boundary where she expected fuzz, a hint of straightness where nature preferred curves. When it caught starlight, the reflection did not bloom, it snapped.

She woke at 4 AM, heart racing, and a single thought sharpened in her mind.

What if it’s not falling at all?

The thought was absurd. Objects in space did not choose, they followed gravity and momentum, obedient to equations that kept planets and moons in their ancient routines. A comet was a dirty snowball. It did not have intent.

Still, the dream clung to her, not as prophecy but as an itch she could not ignore.

She got up, made coffee, and pulled up the spectroscopic data she had been postponing in favor of orbital mechanics.

A comet’s spectrum, in Elena’s opinion, was one of the universe’s more elegant signatures. As sunlight warmed the surface, volatiles sublimated, releasing water, carbon dioxide, methane, ammonia, a familiar chemical chorus that produced tidy absorption lines when sampled through a spectrometer. Every comet carried a fingerprint of where and when it formed.

C/2087 K4’s fingerprint did not match what it should have been.

Not in the obvious ways. The water lines were there. CO2 looked clean. The expected organics appeared where they belonged. But buried low, near the edge of what her signal-to-noise could support, were absorption features she could not identify.

She spent the morning running them against every spectral database she had access to, then called in favors for a few she did not. Crystalline silicates. Tholins. Iron oxides. The common and the obscure, the cataloged and the hypothetical.

Nothing matched cleanly.

“Unknown feature set,” she muttered, typing notes. “Possible instrumental artifact. Recommend follow-up observation with an independent facility.”

It was the responsible thing to write. The scientific thing. Anomaly first, conclusion last. Extraordinary claims required extraordinary evidence, and all Elena had was a trajectory that resisted explanation and a spectral feature that might, if she was honest, still be noise.

She requested telescope time at Keck. The email went out at 11:47 AM, flagged routine.

The afternoon brought visitors.

ALMA did not get many tourists. The altitude made casual sightseeing miserable, and the facilities were not designed to host anyone who did not know the difference between millimeter waves and microwaves. But the comet had made the news, and the news had attracted attention, and attention had a way of ignoring hypoxia and restricted access zones.

“Dr. Chen?” The voice belonged to a young woman with a press badge and an expression that suggested she was regretting every life decision that had led her to this mountain. “Sofia Reyes, Chilean National Television. We’re doing a segment on your comet. Would you have a few minutes for an interview?”

Elena glanced at the clock. She had seventeen simulations running, three emails from colleagues she had not answered, and a growing suspicion that she was about to trigger the kind of conversation humanity rarely had in daylight.

She did not have time for interviews.

“Five minutes,” she said anyway. James would have wanted her to do it. Public outreach mattered, he always said. Funding came from taxpayers who deserved to understand why pointing radio dishes at “empty sky” mattered.

The interview was the usual mix. What made this comet special? How did you discover it? What would it look like as it approached? Elena gave the standard answers, tuned for clarity, stripped of equations.

Then Reyes asked, “Is there anything unusual about this comet?”

Elena hesitated.

She thought about the trajectory. The spectral lines. The dream she would never mention on camera. The image on her phone that she had not shown anyone yet.

“Every comet is unusual in its own way,” she said carefully. “They’re time capsules from the formation of the solar system. Each one teaches us something new about where we came from.”

“And this one?” Reyes asked. “What is it teaching you?”

Elena smiled the way she had learned to smile for cameras, warm, practiced, and just opaque enough.

“Ask me again in a few weeks,” she said. “The best discoveries are the ones we don’t see coming.”

Later, she would replay that answer and wonder if some part of her had already known what she was refusing to say aloud. In the moment, she watched the news van disappear down the winding road and returned to her simulations.

Lunch was a granola bar eaten standing up, because sitting felt like admitting she needed rest. James found her in the break room, staring at the vending machine as if it might dispense explanations along with stale chips.

“I heard back from Kim at JPL,” he said. “They’re seeing the same deviation.”

“Good,” Elena said. “That rules out our instrument.”

“It also rules out an easy explanation.” He leaned against the counter, arms crossed. “Elena, what are you thinking? Really?”

She considered lying. It would be easier to keep this framed as a clever puzzle, a problem the scientific method would solve with enough patience and enough telescope time. That was how discoveries were supposed to go, one verified data point at a time.

But James had been her mentor since graduate school. He had defended her work in rooms full of skeptics. He deserved the truth, even if it sounded insane.

“I’m thinking comets don’t change trajectories without a reason,” she said. “I’m thinking our spectral data contains features that don’t match anything in the reference sets. I’m thinking an object on an initial close solar approach has altered its path in a way that does not line up with standard outgassing behavior.”

James was quiet for a long moment. “You’re describing powered flight.”

“I’m describing what the numbers are forcing us to consider,” Elena said.

“The numbers show an anomaly and some unknown features,” he said. “That’s not the same thing.”

“No,” Elena agreed. “It’s not.”

She took out her phone.

“But it’s why I pulled the high-resolution imagery from last week’s optical follow-up observation.”

She had not told anyone about this yet and had not even fully admitted it to herself, because naming it would make it real.

She opened the image. It was not much, a smear of light against a star field, barely resolved even with adaptive optics. But the smear had structure. A boundary that held. A form that did not look like a tumbling snowball.

James stared at it, his face going still.

“It’s not rotating,” he said.

“No,” Elena said.

“Comets rotate,” he said automatically. “Outgassing torques them, uneven heating, solar wind, tidal effects, something always couples.”

“I know.”

They looked at the image in silence. Elena did not need James to tell her what her eyes had already confirmed. This was not the soft chaos of a natural body. At minimum, it was an object behaving unlike any comet either of them had studied.

“This needs to go up the chain,” James said finally. “IAU, NASA, the works. If this is what it looks like…”

“If this is what it looks like,” Elena said, “we’re about to tell the world something is coming that we cannot call a comet with a straight face.”

She put the phone away. Her hands were not shaking, which surprised her.

“I want twenty-four hours,” she said.

“Elena.”

“Twenty-four hours to rule out everything we can. To verify the trajectory with more independent sources. To wait for Keck and make absolutely certain those absorption features are real.” She met his eyes. “We get one chance to do this right. If we announce early and we’re wrong, we become a cautionary tale. If we wait until we’re confident…”

“If we’re right, twenty-four hours won’t matter,” James said. “It’s been traveling for who knows how long. It can wait one more day.”

“Exactly.”

He nodded. “Twenty-four hours. But if the Keck data confirms it, we go public. No more delays.”

“Agreed.”

The data from Keck arrived at 9 PM, twelve hours ahead of schedule.

The astronomer who processed the request flagged it urgent without being asked. The note was brief.

Elena, you need to see this. Call me.

Elena did not call. Not yet. She needed to see it alone first, without anyone else’s interpretation bleeding into her own.

The resolution was magnificent, far better than what she had in Chile. Every line stood out crisp, a chemical barcode that should have told her exactly what C/2087 K4 was.

Instead, it told her what it did not resemble.

The unidentified features were not noise. They were consistent across exposures, stable within uncertainties, and stubbornly absent from every solar system catalog spectrum she could pull. Not proof of engineering, not proof of intent, but proof of a composition, or a surface process, that did not fit any natural analog she could justify in a meeting full of hostile experts.

Elena leaned back and stared at the screen until her eyes burned.

Then she ran the orbital numbers again.

Perihelion was still trending down. Velocity was still trending up. And the projected closest approach was no longer framed as “solar interest.”

It was framed as “Earth proximity.”

Not a collision course, thank god. The geometry did not support that. But a flyby, close enough that an object that large would be visible without instruments. Close enough that backyard telescopes could resolve its outline.

Close enough that the world would see what she had just seen on her phone.

She saved the data, then backed it up to three separate drives, then uploaded it to the secure pipeline the task force had spun up without asking her permission. She reached for her phone to call James, then stopped.

Outside the window, the Atacama night stretched out in black silence, more stars visible than most humans would ever see. Elena had spent twenty years building a career on the assumption that the universe, while vast and strange, was ultimately consistent. That it followed rules. That with enough data and enough patience, it would yield to understanding.

What if some things did not yield?

What if some objects moved through the dark as if gravity were a suggestion, not a chain?

She picked up the phone and dialed James.

It rang twice before he answered, his voice thick with interrupted sleep.

“It’s not a comet,” she said.

A long pause. “You’re sure?”

“I’m sure,” Elena said. “I don’t know what it is. But I know what it’s not, and I know where it’s heading.”

“How long?”

“Six weeks,” she said. “Maybe less, if the trend holds.”

She heard him breathe on the other end of the line, processing, recalculating, trying and failing to find a safe place to put the words.

“I’ll make the calls,” he said finally. “IAU, NASA, ESA, the observatories. By morning, every telescope on Earth will be pointed at it.”

“And then?”

“And then we find out if we’re ready,” James said quietly. “Elena, whatever this is, you did it right. You followed the evidence as far as it would take you.”

“I know,” she said.

When she hung up, the control room felt too small, the monitors too bright, the air too thin. The data remained unchanged, steady and merciless, telling her that the universe was about to ask a question no one had prepared to answer.

Far out in the dark, the object that was not a comet continued its long fall toward the inner system, indifferent to the flurry of emails and phone calls and hurried meetings it had already set in motion. Its path curved inward, precise and implacable.

For the first time in her career, Dr. Elena Chen found herself hoping the data was wrong.

It wasn’t.

Epilogue: Transfer Window

By the time the sun rose over the Atacama the next morning, the object had a committee.

First, it had a conference call, then a working group, then a task force with an acronym Elena could never quite remember. The International Astronomical Union issued an advisory circular. NASA, ESA, JAXA, CNSA, ISRO, and half a dozen agencies she had previously only seen in footnotes began feeding their data into the same secure pipeline.

Somewhere along the way, her comet lost its name.

C/2087 K4, “Chen’s Comet” in the breathless headlines, became Object 2087-K47, a sanitized alphanumeric that fit better on slides. No one explained the change to her directly, but she saw the logic in the metadata. Different classification rules, different expectations. Comets belonged to the past. K47 belonged to something else.

The next week blurred into interviews, debriefs, and calls that all began the same way.

“Walk us through your reasoning again, Dr. Chen.”

She walked them through it until the words stopped feeling like language and returned to equations in her head.

Trajectory anomaly. Outgassing inconsistency. Non-rotating body. Unmatched absorption features.

Every time she finished, the room, or the screen on the other end, went quiet in exactly the same way. Then someone would ask what she thought it meant.

“I think,” Elena said, every time, “we need better data.”

The better data turned out to be on the far side of the Moon.

“The Farside Observatory was built for deep quiet,” Director Okafor said, sliding a tablet across the table. “Shielding, baseline, aperture. It gives us the cleanest look anyone can get at something like this.”

“Something like this,” Elena repeated. The phrase did not fit. There was nothing to compare K47 to. That was the point.

“We want you there,” Okafor said. “You saw it first. You know its behavior better than anyone.”

Elena looked down at the tablet.

Travel orders. Temporary reassignment from ALMA to Farside Observatory, Luna. Security clearances. Medical requirements. Launch windows.

At the top of the schedule, stamped in bold, someone had titled the mission profile.

Discovery Day.

Elena exhaled.

“That’s a little dramatic,” she said.

“Not our choice,” Okafor said. “Politics needed a banner. The date is real. Based on your window and the updated ephemeris, K47’s best observable deceleration phase crosses our instruments on March fifteenth, 03:47 UTC. We want you in the chair when that happens.”

She remembered the Atacama night, the moment the data quietly overturned two decades of assumptions. She remembered how easy it had been to believe the universe was consistent, right up until it wasn’t.

“When do I leave?” she asked.

Lunar gravity made everything feel like a rehearsal, a dry run for a life on a smaller stage.

On the third orbit before descent, Elena pressed her helmeted forehead to the viewport and watched Earth hang over the Moon’s gray curve, blue and white and impossibly fragile. Somewhere on that bright disk, the Atacama desert was rotating out of view. The array would go on collecting data without her. The sky would remain full of ordinary objects doing ordinary mechanics.

Except for one.

K47 was a dot on her display now, a moving coordinate in the corner of her vision, but its numbers were carved into her memory.

Distance. Relative velocity. Approach vector. Projected deceleration band.

They had argued about that last one for days, whether it even made sense to use the word for something that massive, that far out, on that approach. In the end, the trend held through enough independent sources that even the skeptics stopped using phrases like “artifact” and “bias.” Whatever K47 was, its motion through the inner system was not purely ballistic.

The lander shuddered as thrusters fired. The pilot’s voice crackled in her ear, calm checklists and practiced boredom. Elena barely heard him. Her eyes were on the simple countdown in the corner of her tablet.

Discovery Day, March 15, 2087, 03:47 UTC
Farside Observatory, Luna

Farside Observatory reminded her of ALMA in the ways that mattered: it was built for the work, not for comfort, and it assumed you were competent enough to adapt.

But unlike ALMA, it did not feel temporary.

Farside had the weight of an institution. It had grown in layers, the way old research campuses on Earth grew, one grant cycle at a time, one emergency retrofit at a time, one “temporary” module that became permanent because it was cheaper than removing it. The newest corridors were clean and bright, polymer panels unmarred by boot scuffs, labels still crisp. The older ones bore the subtle polish of years of gloved hands and rolling equipment, the kind of wear that said this place had been running long enough to have lost its novelty.

The core habitat was half-buried, bermed in regolith, and shielded like a ship’s hull, with airlocks that cycled all day with the dull efficiency of routine. Everything was designed to keep dust out, radiation down, and people moving. Seals were checked by habit, not fear. Filters were swapped on schedule. The warning placards had long ago stopped sounding like drama and started reading like office policy.

Outside the pressurized spine, the observatory spread across the plain in purposeful geometry. Low comms masts and wide thermal radiators. Service tracks etched into gray dust. Autonomous carts that ran silent routes between instrument pads and maintenance bays, their tires leaving fresh lines that overlapped older ones, a slow, constant proof of activity.

The array itself was not one thing. It was a field of instruments, phased baselines, antenna farms, and receivers set far enough apart to make Earth’s best interferometry feel cramped. Some of the dishes were new, sleek, matte-coated to fight glare. Others were older, their surfaces patched and re-patched, micrometeoroid scars filled and resealed, their serial plates stamped with dates that reminded Elena this facility had been watching the universe in radio silence for a long time.

Inside, the control rooms ran on the same quiet doctrine as every mature observatory: most of the work was preparation, most of the preparation was redundancy, and the real drama was always deferred to the data.

Her quarters were small, but not spartan. They looked like the standardized housing of a place that rotated crews through constantly. A bunk bolted to the wall. A narrow desk. A personal locker that still smelled faintly of disinfectant. A small screen displaying station announcements, shift rosters, and a reminder to hydrate, as if the Moon were just another high-altitude site and not a different world.

The common area down the hall made the “established facility” part impossible to miss. A kitchenette with real appliances, not field rations. A wall of pinned notices in multiple languages, seminar schedules, maintenance advisories, and a faded poster advertising a lecture series titled The Quiet Sky, Season 12. Someone had taped up a list of inside jokes and unofficial rules. Someone else had crossed out half of them and written, in neat block letters, “ASK ENGINEERING BEFORE YOU TOUCH ANYTHING.”

The people had that same look she recognized at ALMA and JPL, the expression of specialists running on too little sleep and too much purpose. Not wide-eyed pioneers. Professionals. The kind of scientists and technicians who had long since stopped romanticizing being on the Moon because their day-to-day was cabling diagrams, thermal budgets, calibration cycles, and the relentless tyranny of schedules.

History, she realized, did not always arrive with fanfare. Sometimes it came as an extra tab on a dashboard and a new label on a monitor.

The control room was larger than she expected, not because it was luxurious but because it had been expanded. Old consoles sat along one wall, powered down but not removed, their screens blank, their hardware too expensive to throw away and too outdated to trust. Newer stations filled the center, modular desks and articulated displays, each one a work island for a different subsystem. Overhead, a soft, constant ventilation hiss masked the faint hum of racks that had likely never been fully shut down since the day they were commissioned.

One entire wall was a mosaic of instrument feeds and system health readouts. Beneath the central monitor, someone had pinned a small handwritten card.

K47

No cometary designation. No nickname. Just the working label, underlined twice.

“You really do not have to stay up all the way to the window,” the night tech told her, stifling a yawn as he handed over the watch. His tone was friendly, practiced, and slightly amused, the way you talked to a visiting scientist who still believed the work required heroic vigilance. “Automation will page you if anything crosses thresholds.”

“I know,” Elena said.

And she did know. This place ran on routines refined over decades: calibration scripts, alert thresholds, failover protocols. The kind of infrastructure that existed because someone, years ago, had learned the hard way what happened when a single person’s attention became a critical system.

She sat in the chair anyway.

Not because she believed the facility needed her eyes, but because she needed to be present when the thing she had named, accidentally and then officially, stopped behaving like an object and started behaving like a decision.

The lights dimmed for night mode. Somewhere deeper in the habitat, a door cycled. A cart passed outside, a faint vibration through the floor. Farside continued doing what it had always done: keeping the sky quiet, keeping the instruments steady, keeping human life contained in a thin bubble of rules and maintenance and habit.

Above, the sky was black and clean and indifferent.

On her display, K47 crept one line closer to the center of the prediction bands.

The observatory clock counted down toward a time that had been capitalized and circulated and put into briefing decks, as if naming it could make it manageable.

Elena watched the seconds tick away, and tried not to imagine what the next number would mean.

Some countdowns end in silence. This one ends in a question humanity was never prepared to answer.

This story leads directly into the events of The Shepherd Descends. If you want to follow the signal all the way to first contact, start the novel or grab a copy to keep reading.